15pts profit on the day yesterday, a nice return and we called the Newcastle maiden pretty much to the letter.
An interesting Chester card this evening and a couple at decent prices in the maiden take the eye.
Oriental Romance 1pt each-way @ 25/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed, 20/1 generally guaranteed) - N/R
Her Royal Empress 1pt each-way @ 50/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed, 40/1 generally guaranteed)
The favourite Savanna La Mar didn't look blessed with a high cruising speed on here debut, and being by Curlin she might well have been better suited by the polytrack on debut than she will be by turf tonight. She may not be suited by the sharp track. The Godolphin second fav looked typically fizzy, as many of Al Zarooni's were last season. They don't always pregress and I find the money hard to believe. At big prices Oriental Romance and Her Royal Empress make each-way appeal with the dead eight taking part. The former represents Richard Fahey, and showed a good cruising speed on debut but didn't really get much luck in running. She was caught on the far railat Musselburgh, didn't see much daylight, and ended up racing on the wrong part of the track. The stable's two year olds are starting to run well and she is worth backing at 25/1 from a decent draw. Her Royal Empress is more speculative, but she showed on debut that she has an engine, travelling easilt on the heels of the leaders before fading. She has to come on a lot for that but she is from a stable who target this meeting and she looks overpriced at 50/1.
7.55 Chester
My Kingdom 3pts win @ 11/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Beckermet 3pts win @ 7/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
My Kingdom has some back form which entitles him to be favourite here. His handicap mark looks fair and he has been in good form this season, just failing to get the breaks and running up a sequence of four seconds. I don't think there is anything wrong with his attitude and he is worth backing at the prices. Of the others, Beckermet appeals. He has bundles of form on tight turning tracks and can be forgiven his recent poor run on soft ground at York. He is also well handicapped and has a decent draw here for his style of running. His trainer has done well at Chester this year and she can continue that good run. I think we've a strong hand between the above pair.
Profit & loss: day: -8.00 / month: +77.49 / year: -213.48
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