3.50 Kempton Swnymor 5pts win @ 15/2 (Betfair Sportsbook, Coral, guaranteed, 7/1 generally guaranteed)
Handles soft and heavy ground well, and has plenty of form on tight turning tracks on the flat which could suggest that this often keen sort might be at home around a track like Kempton. He started out his hurdling career at Tim Vaughan's stable last season, and came close to winning a Grade 1, falling at the last with the race at his mercy. That race worked out well, and although he hasn't gone on since then (more bad runs than good), he does look attractively handicapped off OR137. He has switched to Rebecca Curtis, who is a trainer I respect, and I am prepared to forgive his earlier run this season on the basis that her stable hadn't really hit form. They seem to be in better nick lately, and if the selection is going to put his best foot forward I think today's test offers ideal conditions. A very capable 10lb claimer is booked, and Curtis' use of such claimers is well documented - she used Patrick Corbett to good effect last season on a number of occasions. He is well worth his claim, and the price here looks very fair given the opposition on the whole don't look terrific. Deep Trouble is the one I'd be wary of, but I think better ground will suit him and I expect spring festivals will see him in his best light.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +32.50 / year: +32.50
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